Stuttgart’s Serhou Guirassy Will Be In High Demand This Winter

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Over the first eight weeks of the 2023/24 Bundesliga season, there was one striker who looked absolutely unstoppable, and his name wasn’t Harry Kane.

Stuttgart’s Serhou Guirassy started the season in the form of his life, scoring an incredible fourteen goals in eight games.

And they weren’t tap-ins either. Many were from outside the penalty area, and his goal against Darmstadt in particular, where he spins, jinks to move the defender, and then smashes the ball inside the near post, was sublime.

Some of the other goals, like his third against Mainz, where he lifts the ball over a defender then heads it over the onrushing goalkeeper, are only ever scored by on-form players whose confidence is sky high.

The 27-year-old Guinea international’s goal-scoring streak briefly made him the top scorer in Europe’s main soccer leagues before he was sidelined with a hamstring injury. But Guirassy’s 14 goals would already be enough for him to have been the fifth highest goalscorer in the Bundesliga last season.

Unsurprisingly, his form has attracted plenty of interest from Premier League sides, not least because there is a release clause in his contract allowing clubs to sign him on the cheap.

That clause is reportedly around $18.5 million this winter, before rising to around $21.5 million in the summer.

That presents a bargain for any club interested in Guirassy, especially when compared to the fees that Wolverhampton Wanderers paid for Matheus Cunha, Everton paid for Beto, and Nottingham Forest (and Newcastle United) paid for Chris Wood.

There are fourteen good reasons to buy Guirassy, but there are also several reasons why clubs should be wary.

He has scored more goals this season than in any other season of his career, which included large spells in France’s Ligue 1. This could suggest that his current form is just a random hot streak, especially as eight games is a very small sample size when it comes to judging players.

On the flip side his eleven goals in 22 games in an injury-hit season for Stuttgart last season, an impressive record of a goal every 150 minutes, suggests it is more that he has found a club that suits his style, and that has coincided with him reaching his peak years as a player.

There could be worries over whether Guirassy can replicate that form elsewhere though. He has only ever reached double figures for league goals once before his move to Stuttgart, hitting ten goals in 27 games for Stade Rennais in 2020/21.

Some strikers often struggle initially to match their Bundesliga goalscoring rates when moving across the North Sea, especially when they don’t move to one of the top Premier League sides.

Stuttgart are not only flying high in the Bundesliga table, but are also the third-best team when it comes to possession, passing accuracy and shots per game. Despite finishing 16th last season, Stuttgart had the fourth most shots and were in the top half of teams for possession and pass accuracy then too.

Five of the eight games Guirassy has played this season in were against the bottom five Bundesliga teams. That dominance has given Guirassy the third-most shots per 90 minutes in the league. Should Guirassy move to the Premier League, the club he joins will likely not have such dominance.

Guirassy has stated that he doesn’t want to leave Stuttgart this winter, but clubs eyeing his goalscoring rate at Stuttgart will likely see his current release clause as something that is too good to miss, and with competition for Guirassy’s signature, even if they aren’t convinced that his current form is sustainable, clubs are unlikely to want to wait around till summer.

Guirassy’s form would often lead some Premier League side to panic buy him, overpaying based on his short-term form. The release clause means that even if he doesn’t hit the heights he has at Stuttgart, he will still be value for money.



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